As Financial Review correspondent Hans van Leeuwen writes, the last surveys before election day suggests Labour will more than double its tally from five years ago, winning more than 420 seats in the 650-seat House of Commons. The Conservatives’ total would drop from the 365 to barely more than 100. On the numbers in some of these polls, Labour leader Keir Starmer could win the largest parliamentary majority since 1832. Most expect at least a bigger win than Labour’s Tony Blair in 1997.
209 – The largest majority for a single party. This is currently held by Stanley Baldwin’s Conservatives who defeated Ramsay MacDonald’s Labor in 1924. 12 per cent – Largest swing to Labour. This was achieved by the post-war Labour Party in 1945 which ousted Winston Churchill. 156 – The fewest Conservative seats. Tory leader Arthur Balfour lost more than half the party’s seats in the 1906 election. 30.7 per cent – The Conservatives lowest share of the vote.