‘Avatar 2’ Is So Expensive It Must Become the ‘Fourth or Fifth Highest-Grossing Film in History’ With Over $2 Billion Just to Break Even

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'It's very f---ing [expensive]...you have to be the third or fourth highest-grossing film in history. That’s your threshold. That’s your break even.”

Cameron apparently told Disney and 20th Century Studios executives that his sequel budget was so high in represented “the worst business case in movie history.” According to the director’s estimates, “you have to be the third or fourth highest-grossing film in history. That’s your threshold. That’s your break even.”

On the current chart of highest-grossing movies worldwide , Cameron’s original 2009 “Avatar” ranks at the top with $2.9 billion. Disney’s “Avengers: Endgame” is in second position with $2.7 million, while Cameron’s “Titanic” remains in the third slot with $2.1 billion. If “” wants to break even, it’ll need to overtake either “Star Wars: The Force Awakens” or “Avengers: Infinity War” in the fourth or fifth slots, respectively.

Regardless of what spot it claims, “Avatar: The Way of Water” will need to earn at least $2 billion to be profitable, according to Cameron. Only five movies have ever crossed the $2 billion mark, unadjusted for inflation. While the pandemic has affected moviegoing, films like “Spider-Man: No Way Home” and “Top Gun: Maverick” have managed to turn huge profits, so there’s hope for “The Way of Water.

 

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He was talking about domestically. So that actually means $800 million. People keep misquoting that lol

thebennyjblanco

UltraHDBluray Don’t get need for all these Avatar sequels. Never met person who is like, “Avatar is my favorite film ever” or “I’m planning Disney trip for primary purpose of going to Avatar World” Liked first Avatar film but a one-time watch + best character (Col. Quaritch) was killed off

SimonHunterfilm Just what the world needs. This reminds me, I still haven't seen the first one.

Itd have to be at least as inventive and paradigm shifting as the first, which i really can't see happening

Let’s all NOT watch it opening week just to spite them.

Morbius 2, blue boogaloo. Considering how little impact the first one had culturally, it's going to take a lot to even find this sequal in the top 10.

I just hope this franchise flops BAD.

This move didn’t cost 2 billion on its own

🗑🗑

It’s 2 billion for all of them not one

I feel like a lot of people who saw the original have died from old age

It’s been 12 or 13 years since the first one, is there enough hype from people that liked the first one still there? I would have given up if I had liked it, but I’ve only seen it once and fell asleep three times on it.

I'll download a cam on pirate bay tyvm

Whoa..2bill..thats alot of psyops

Is it any good though

Is it just me or was the first one not very good? Like it was a technical cgi masterpiece but the plot was boring and cliche. How you gonna do 3 hrs of a sequel? I'll pass

After so many years of watching CG in every big blockbuster movie, this trailer just seems so so..

But the budget is for 2 movies... Not 1... Like infinity war and end game were

Holly $hit!

kimmasters can we get your prognostication on this film’s box office prospects?

Many people in these comments don't smoke WEED when they go see Avatar and it shows. It shows mama if shows.

No way you believe it cost £2BN to make one movie 😂 it’s 2, 3, 4 and 5.

I sort of lost interest. With the trailers, they don’t tell you what the plot is

I doubt it will be even in top 3 highest grossing movies after seeing economy entering recession.

And what does Fast X need to make? 😂

It will with ease 🙏🏻

Hahahahahahaha we live in hell

don’t think they’re worried because it will easily be 1

coastyn

James Cameron can do it

When my husband was alive he watched Avatar at least 100 times. So I won't be running to watch it because frankly, I'm sick of it.

How much of this quoted number is strictly the cost of making the sequel rather than a future infrastructure investment for the 3rd, 4th, 5th, and g*d knows, 6th Avatar film.

Good luck x'D

But was the budget for 2-3 together? If so they should get that back with two movies

So he's guilting us into watching it? Same as Disney has been doing for the last several years? Nope. I will never watch this ever now. Good luck on that ludicrous number, it's gonna hurt like hell.

It'll easily hit 2 Billion. Nostalgia's a great incentive in the first place, and mastery of thematic storytelling is another great incentive for it to do well. I saw the first Avatar movie 5-times in the theatre, this movie I plan on doing the same, (if not more!)

Bro $1B is the break even point and it will be done in less than 3 weeks or max 3 weeks As the 2nd part budget is around $250M to $350M it won't be more than $1B for break even point And I think $2B will be easy only in 2 months max I guess or who knows in 1.5 months

So only a little riding on it.

I doubt it needs to hit that, but if it even needs to hit like, $1 billion to break even I kinda hope it does Black Adam numbers.

Trust me, once it's out, people will flock to the theatres. Even for Avatar 13 years since its release, people went in droves. Because experiencing Pandora in theatres is an unparalleled experience.

4 parts ki kalipi budget 1 Billion annaru. Nuv part 2 ke 1 Billion budget esi 2 Billion BE antunnav.

Budget around 250 mil anaru ga ra . 700 Million earn cheste BE eh ga sare enta ayna kani 1 Billion lopala eh untadi BE mark.

Yikes.

It will be easily on top..if it make waves at box office like it’s predecessor!

I just want to see it. I could care less how much money it makes.

Wasn't James Cameron Salty as Fuck when a superhero movie avengers broke all records? Saying shit about comics and superhero films.

$3 billion on the way. 1.2 billion in China alone.

Good luck with that

Sad reality is , It cannot cross avtar 1 collections. Hype and craze matters !! To become massive at boxoffice.

they have monetized it via a theme park land for years now, this franchise makes money

Buts it’s a cartoon, we can agree on that right?

Don't think the average moviegoer understands that just because a film might make back what it's production budget cost, it won't automatically make back its money. Theaters get a cut, then there are back-end deals for actors and financiers usually.

What a marketing strategy 💀

They have blue people in Black Panther. I won’t be watching

No it doesn't

Me during Avatar’s flop era

It will

Really?. I guess we'll see..it doesn't look that good. It doesn't look as good as it's prequel

Definitely not watching it lol

erobgonmen :0000

Cameron is a dramatic mf. Wouldn't take him so literally. The movie prolly cost half a billion at best. $1b is enough to break even.

The way of Water? But he starts with Air!!!

Theaters take a 50% cut of that money. And Taxes take between 30-37%. So for a movie that cost 250mil to break even not adding the cost of advertising it would need to make 720mil. Add advertisement costs and you’ll need more. Most movies lose money. AvatarTheWayOfWater

I mean the first was already the highest grossing so..

Who are the editors and Variety? At this point 20 year old kid’s writing at the end of class can write more accurate news. It’s always negative and drama riddled stories. Let alone the BS sent to you by agents and studios.

Nah its been reported already that they gave him a Billion to make all 4 movies so as long as it passes 250mill (which it will) itll be okay. He just wants to do it (make the billion back) with this movie to silence the critics and have more leverage with the studio. All good 💙

Make sure to see it at AMC amc AMCSQUEEZE

Lol I’ll get them half of that by myself. Will be watching this movie weekly for its entire theatrical run. Already got tickets for two IMAX Thursday showings 😂😂😂

Rrr is best

It will be the highest grossing movie of all time, easy.

And now we know why 20th Century Fox got sold.

Wasn't it filmed alongside 3?

Well I guess it aint breaking even cause it's sho aint playing in China

That’s the budget of the saga, WoW only needs about 650 million which is totally feasible for a film this size..

Pretty much this confirms Avatar 4 & 5 are unlikely to happen.

Mf got tired

This seems to take James Cameron’s quotes and blow it out of proportion. You mentioned in your own article reports estimated it at a $250 million budget. Even if it costs $350 million, the break even point would still be under $1 billion

I'm gonna laugh so hard if this flop 🤣😂🤣🤣🤣

Why would you make a movie that expensive with this economic uncerntainty? Looks like Avatar 3 will be the last film in the franchise.

wheres the WarriorNun season 2 review? The show is currently 1 on TOP 10 Variety Trending TV Shows for days. WarriorNun WarriorNunS2 RenewWarriorNun

I can't wait to see it

ResonantJustice W U T .

It’ll def make a billion but I just don’t see it making 2. 3D and CGI aren’t new anymore……people aren’t wow’d anymore by it. The first Avatar got insane repeat business just because of that wow factor. Don’t see it this time

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