Lockdown didn't lead to baby boom - in fact it seems to have put people off

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The ONS predicts the fertility rate this year could end up being the lowest ever recorded.

When lockdown started 15 months ago, everyone thought they’d called it. With everyone told to stay at home with er, not much else to do, a baby boom was surely incoming.The figures for births across England and Wales in December 2020 and January 2021 are now in – so the time babies conceived at the start of the first lockdown would have been born.

Compared to the equivalent months one year earlier, live births were down by 8.1% and 10.2% respectively. Overall, provisional figures show a total of 615,557 live births took place last year, which is down 4% on 2019.The birth rate last year is thought to be down 4% on 2019 Based on data for the first three months of the year, the rate for 2021 is estimated to be 1.53 children per woman – down from 1.92 children in 2011.

 

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