Fewer than 1 in 10 Americans show signs of past coronavirus infection, large national study finds

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This suggests most may still be vulnerable to infection, authors say.

This means for every case diagnosed by a nasal or saliva swab in the country, about nine more people have antibodies for the coronavirus, the study estimated. Many people remain potentially at risk. “It basically does show that a minority of the U.S. population has evidence of antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 right now,” said study co-authorThe findings also suggest herd immunity is far off without the advent of a vaccine.

That’s because scientists still don’t understand coronavirus immunity well enough. “We don’t really have perfect data that antibodies give immunity,” she said. “And we don’t have perfect data that there aren’t other forms of immunity that are also important,″ which antibody tests cannot detect. “If these numbers were taken at face value … they still would suggest that there are a lot of people” who haven’t been infected, Rosenberg said.The study’s findings align with CDC Director Robert Redfield’s assertion to Congress this week that 90 percent of U.S. population is probably vulnerable to the virus — a statement later challenged by Scott Atlas, a pandemic adviser to President Trump.

 

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